Ukraine: the ceasefire that was not a ceasefire until now

Poroshenko threatens to end ceasefire early after military helicopter shot down, the "People’s Republics" Donetsk and Lugansk are founded "New Russia", Putin still does not rule out intervention

The temporary cease-fire unilaterally imposed by Kiev on Friday evening, which was broken on Monday by separatists of the "Donetsk People’s Republic" The problem that was taken over, is already broken again. Last night separatists shot down a military helicopter with MANPADs near Slavyansk. Nine Ukrainian soldiers died. President Poroshenko does not exclude the possibility of ending the ceasefire in response to this and other violations of the ceasefire.

One of the main activities of President Poroshenko, here with U.S. Vice President Biden. Picture: president.gov.ua

Earlier in the afternoon, Ukrainian President Poroshenko, meeting with the German minister of defense, pointed out that there had been eight injuries in the night from Monday to Tuesday, with one soldier killed and seven wounded. Steinmeier stressed the success of the first trilateral meeting. The fact that representatives of the Ukrainian government for the first time met directly with separatists, always described by the government as "Terrorists" The Russian authorities have already spoken about the laying down of arms and an OSCE mission to observe the cease-fire as a success.

Hope had also been raised by a symbolic gesture by Russian President Putin, who yesterday said he had asked the Russian Federation Council to reverse the decision of 1. To make Marz backward. Putin had thus been authorized to deploy forces in Ukraine. In this way, he wanted to make a contribution to the de-escalation and normalization of the situation. The Sepratatists regretted the decision

During a press conference in Vienna, however, Putin criticized the fact that fighting had continued around Slavyansk and that Ukrainian troops had landed there. declarations also had to be kept, he probably accused the Ukrainian government of. Even a ceasefire is not enough, it is also necessary to reach agreements between all parties involved. In addition, right-wing nationalist militants in western Ukraine also had to be disarmed, which in fact did not happen; rather, they were disarmed by being included in the "Anti-terrorist operation" legalized. However, Putin also made clear that the threat against Kiev or the promise to the separatists in eastern Ukraine to intervene militarily if necessary remains in place: "We will defend the ethnic Russians in Ukraine and that part of the Ukrainian people who feel their inseparable ethnic, cultural and linguistic ties with Russia, who feel part of the wider Russian world… We will not only follow the developments closely, but also respond to them adequately."

It was to be expected that only some of the armed separatists will keep it, as Poroshenko’s peace plan seeks to drive a wedge between separatists. Thus, an amnesty is to be granted to those who have not committed serious crimes, while a safe corridor is to be created for those who wish to leave for Russia, provided they leave their weapons behind. It is completely unclear how this will be handled. It is hardly conceivable that details can be clarified by Friday. No wonder that some separatists have no confidence to lay down their arms.

Ukraine: the ceasefire that was not one until now

The "Supreme Council" the "Donetsk People’s Republic" takes the interception of "New Russia" to.

Also Alexander Borodaj, who "President" the "Donetsk People’s Republic", which, together with representatives of "Lugansk People’s Republic" The Donetsk People’s Republic, which had agreed to the cease-fire, is now accusing Kiev of failing to comply with it, which is why the "People’s Armed Forces" must continue to fight: "I officially declared that there was no ceasefire and apparently there will be no ceasefire. Uns bleibt nichts anderes ubrig, als weiter zu kampfen. In the Donetsk area, the Ukrainian military deployed tanks and artillery on Tuesday. There are already dead and injured", he said. Slavyansk and Sneshnoe have been shelled. It is also possible that Kiev will not be able to control the militias that, together with the army and the National Guard, are involved in the "Anti-terrorist operation" and also like the militias of the separatists are interested in confrontations and further fighting. An example of the problems is the conflict over the "Aydar battalion".

Separatists also continue unabated in their attempts to secede parts of eastern Ukraine. Yesterday they announced a union of the two "People’s Republics" founded. Borodaj announced that the "Supreme Council" in Donetsk had accepted the catch for the envisaged New Russia, and in Lugansk the vote will be held soon. Whether and how many people in Donetsk and Lugansk want this is not known.

Poroshenko announced that he might end the ceasefire early because of the ongoing violations and that he had instructed the soldiers to push back immediately if they were attacked. Things are bad for the peace plan. The time for the temporary ceasefire is too short, if it is not to serve primarily to initiate talks on the further elaboration of the rudimentary peace plan. Poroshenko was counting on a quick solution from the very beginning, which should only last a few days, and is probably only prolonging the conflict, especially since even the separatists have long since realized that the Crimea scenario will not be repeated and that Moscow is pursuing its own interests.